Under what conditions do some states have the same citizenship rights?
Most Different System (M.D.S)
Variables | Case 1: North Korea | Case 2: South Korea |
Differences | ||
Urban Population (%) GDP – real growth (%) GDP – per capita (PPP) Life expectancy Export, $billion Import, $billion
| 60 0.8 1800 69.2 4.71 4 | 83 2.7 32400 79.3 552.6 574.2 |
Outcomes | ||
Dependent Variable: Citizenship (by birth) | No | No |
Cause | ||
Independent Variable: Government Type | Dictatorship | Presidential System |
Hypothesis
States with different government type lead to similar rights for citizenship
The government type of → Citizenship
We are comparing two states with different government types and economy to show that it results in a similar right to citizenship.
Control Variables
Urban Population– Urbanization influences the physical condition through the effects on assets of the number of individuals, their exercises, and extended requests. Urbanization has negative effects on well-being due to contamination and stuffed everyday environments for the most part. Often, it can flexibly squeeze food structure (Clément).
GDP- real growth rate- Growth rate (GDP) is a measure of how fast the economy is developing. It does this by contrasting the fourth of the nation’s GDP to the last quarter. The gross domestic product is a measure of the country’s financial output. The growth rate of GDP is driven by four segments of GDP.
GDP-per capita– The per capita gross domestic product is a significant measure of economic success and a valuable metric for making cross-country correlations of common expectations for everyday comfort and economic prosperity. Specifically, GDP per capita is not considered to be a nation’s payment appropriation.
Life expectancy- The instrumented increases in life expectancy have a significant effect on the population; a 1% rise in life expectancy contributes to a rise of around 1.5 percent in the population. There is no evidence, therefore, that the huge exogenous increase in life expectancy caused a huge increase in monetary growth per capita (Lee).
Exports-Exports form part of total demand(TD). Increasing exports will help increase AD and increase financial development. Export growth may also have a thump on the effect on associated businesses in the administration. Therefore, a decline in exports may have a significant negative impact on the Korean economy during a worldwide monetary downturn.
Imports- Exports initially boost financial yields, as calculated by GDP. They make employments and make compensation increases. Third, nations with high rates of imports have to extend their savings from remote capital. That is the way they pay for the importations. That can influence the cost of household income, expansion, and lending (Delury).
Dependent Variable
Citizenship → of a state gives a broader view of the government that is ruling the state. Through citizenship, we could find out the rights of a person, that whether he/she could enjoy the same rights. Citizenship shows a person’s right to visit and live in that state.
Independent Variable
Government Type → Government is responsible for all the actions that have been taken in for all the actions in the states. It influences the economic rights and services of a state. Variation in government type may lead to variation in the lifestyle of the citizens in a state.
Hypothesis test:
Comparative Checking
The comparative checking is used to show, whether the hypothesis that is made, is true or false by adding another case. Here we are adding the case of china to check the Hypothesis
Variables | Case 1: North Korea | Case 2: South Korea | Case 3: China |
Differences | |||
Urban Population (%) GDP – real growth (%) GDP – per capita (PPP) Life expectancy Export, $billion Import, $billion
| 60
0.8
1800
69.2 4.71 4 | 83
2.7
32400
79.3 552.6 574.2 | 61.4%
6.9
18,200
76.1 2216 2140 |
Outcomes | |||
Dependent Variable: Citizenship (by birth) | No | No | No |
Causes | |||
Independent Variable: Government Type | Dictatorship | Presidential System | Communist party |
Initial hypothesis
States with different government type lead to similar rights for citizenship
The government type of → Citizenship
We are comparing two states with different government types and economy to show that it results in a similar right to citizenship.
From the above hypothesis, we conducted a regression model to understand the best theory to use in our case.
Regression output
SUMMARY OUTPUT | ||||||
Regression Statistics | ||||||
Multiple R | 0.612854 | |||||
R Square | 0.375589 | |||||
Adjusted R Square | -0.04068 | |||||
Standard Error | 1.908506 | |||||
Observations | 6 | |||||
ANOVA | ||||||
df | SS | MS | F | Significance F | ||
Regression | 2 | 6.572816 | 3.286408 | 0.902266 | 0.493407 | |
Residual | 3 | 10.92718 | 3.642395 | |||
Total | 5 | 17.5 | ||||
Coefficients | Standard Error | t Stat | P-value | Lower 95% | Upper 95% | |
Intercept | 3.984069 | 0.910341 | 4.37646 | 0.022078 | 1.086959 | 6.881179 |
N.Korea | -0.02853 | 0.021622 | -1.3195 | 0.278665 | -0.09734 | 0.040281 |
S.Korea | 0.001555 | 0.001193 | 1.30381 | 0.283324 | -0.00224 | 0.005352 |
Theory identification.
In our case, we choose to reject the null hypothesis as our best theory.
Explanation of identified theory.
A null hypothesis is a hypothesis that says there is no statistical significance between the two variables in the hypothesis. The purpose and importance of the null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis are that they provide an approximate description of the phenomena. The purpose is to provide the researcher or an investigator with a relational statement that is directly tested in a research study. The convention in most statistical research is to use a significance level of 0.05. This means that if the P-value is less than 0.05, you reject the null hypothesis; if P is greater than or equal to 0.05, you don’t reject the null hypothesis.
Now considering our case above, our P-value is 0.022078. Now using a significance level of 0.05, we reject the null hypothesis since our P-value is less than 0.05. This implies that there is sufficient evidence that there is a relationship between the dependent and the independent variable. We can now conclude that there is a relationship between different states leading to similar for citizenship.
The second test of the hypothesis
Regression output
SUMMARY OUTPUT | ||||||
Regression Statistics | ||||||
Multiple R | 0.85052 | |||||
R Square | 0.723384 | |||||
Adjusted R Square | 0.30846 | |||||
Standard Error | 1.55576 | |||||
Observations | 6 | |||||
ANOVA | ||||||
df | SS | MS | F | Significance F | ||
Regression | 3 | 12.65922 | 4.219741 | 1.743414 | 0.384747 | |
Residual | 2 | 4.840778 | 2.420389 | |||
Total | 5 | 17.5 | ||||
Coefficients | Standard Error | t Stat | P-value | Lower 95% | Upper 95% | |
Intercept | 1.800468 | 1.564235 | 1.151022 | 0.368756 | -4.92989 | 8.530826 |
N.Korea | 0.012405 | 0.031258 | 0.396874 | 0.729805 | -0.12209 | 0.146897 |
S.Korea | -0.00186 | 0.002363 | -0.78715 | 0.51366 | -0.01203 | 0.008309 |
China | 0.002151 | 0.001356 | 1.585762 | 0.253678 | -0.00369 | 0.007987 |
From the above regression output, our P-value 0.368756. Now using a significance level of 0.05, we again reject the null hypothesis since our P-value is less than 0.05. This implies that there is sufficient evidence that there is a relationship between the dependent and the independent variable. We can now conclude that there is a relationship between different states leading to similar for citizenship. From the above two tests, it’s clear that the best theory in our study was rejecting the null hypothesis.
Works Cited
Control Variable
1: Urban population: CIA World Fact Book-North Korea, South Korea and – China
2: GDP – real growth: CIA World Fact Book-North Korea, South Korea and – China
3: GDP – per capita (PPP): CIA World Fact Book-North Korea, South Korea and – China
4: Life expectancy: CIA World Fact Book-North Korea, South Korea and – China
5: Export, $billion: CIA World Fact Book-North Korea, South Korea and – China
6: Import, $billion: CIA World Fact Book-North Korea, South Korea and – China
Dependent Variable
Citizenship (by birth): CIA World Fact Book-North Korea, South Korea and – China
Independent Variable
Government Type: CIA World Fact Book-North Korea, South Korea and – China
Clément, Théo. “From Failed Economic Interfaces to Political Levers: Assessing China-
South Korea Competition and Cooperation Scenarios on North Korean Special Economic Zones.” Korea Economic Institute of America, Academic Paper Series 106 (2019).
Delury, John. “Trump and North Korea: Reviving the art of the deal.” Foreign Aff. 96 (2017): 46.
Lee, Jaejoong, and Yongseok Seo. “Alternative futures for North Korea economy: From the
North Korean perspectives.” Futures 114 (2019): 102455.